The annual gathering of Europe’s regional airports and their business partners, held this year at Dubrovnik Ruđer Bošković Airport on 11 and 12 April, is their opportunity to review trading conditions. The latest industry analysis from ACI Europe, reveals a market reshaped by structural changes and facing unprecedented challenges requiring urgent attention from the EU and European States. ACI Europe is part of Airports Council International (ACI), the only worldwide professional association of airport operators.
Larger airports, with between one million and ten million passengers a year, have generally kept outperforming the European average for passenger traffic this year with 7.5% growth against an average of -0.9% compared to pre-pandemic levels. In particular those serving popular tourism destinations or relying on VFR demand (Visiting Friends and Relatives) have done well.
Smaller regional airports, with fewer than one million passengers a year, have significantly underperformed – with their passenger volumes 38.6% below 2019 levels. This reflects post-COVID structural shifts in the European aviation market, notably the following factors:
– The accelerated rise of Ultra-Low Cost Carriers (LCCs) and the relative retrenchment of Network Carriers on their hubs, which has been especially acute for regional airports. While LCCs are increasing seat capacity at regional airports by 15.3% this summer when compared to pre-pandemic (2019) levels, Network Carriers are decreasing by -24.5%. Smaller regional airports are seeing both LCCs’ and Network Carriers’ capacity decreasing.
– The increasing reliance of Europe’s airports on international passenger traffic as domestic traffic remains below pre-pandemic levels. So far this year, international traffic at regional airports has increased by 5.7%, when compared to pre-pandemic levels, while domestic traffic is down by -5.9%. But the fact remains that replacing lost domestic traffic by new international traffic is usually more challenging for smaller regional airports due to their market size.
– The predominance of leisure/VFR demand as business demand remains below pre-pandemic levels.
Opening the conference, Morgan Foulkes, Deputy Director General of ACI Europe, said “we have barely turned a corner on COVID but its aftermath is here to stay in the guise of new market dynamics keeping a tight grip on regional airports. The increasing dependence of these airports on footloose LCCs and hybridised network carriers is exacerbating competitive pressures, often squeezing them with unprecedented intensity. And clearly, the stream of airline consolidations underway is not going to make things any easier.”
While achieving financial viability has been a challenge for regional airports, especially smaller ones, these new market realities are making it more difficult to break even – let alone finance investment in decarbonisation, digitalisation and infrastructure upgrades.
Traffic seasonality has always resulted in higher operating costs and a lack of economies of scale. While some regional airports have managed to extend their peak seasons, others are struggling to grow traffic outside the peaks and reduce demand imbalance across the year. Changing weather patterns are also starting to impact demand, pointing to new uncertainties over seasonality and traffic levels.
The strengthened airline buyer power results in below break-even revenues from user charges. These charges have been on a steady decline in real terms over the past five years and are reaching an all-time low in 2024. Regional airports with less than 5 million passengers per annum are now charging airlines -16.4% less for the use of their facilities compared to 2019.
Morgan Foulkes commented that “there is no escaping the fact that it is now financial crunch time for many of Europe’s regional airports. This is a challenge that needs to be addressed with a forward-looking and holistic view – taking into account the impact of the EU’s climate legislation (the so-called “Fit for 55”) not just on airports, but on the. connectivity they enable and the essential role that connectivity playsfor cohesion and territorial equality”.
“This requires continued flexibility as regards the ability of smaller regional airports to benefit from operating aid after 2027 under the EU State Aid Guidelines, less regulatory scrutiny when it comes to airport charges regulation at national level and – last but not least – a full range of accompanying measures under the EU Fit for 55 to safeguard regional air connectivity.”
Regional airports currently provide 34% of total air connectivity in Europe, but their direct connectivity levels have not recovered their pre-pandemic levels -far from it. Furthermore, research from the economics and finance consultancy Oxera shows that the EU Fit for 55 package could result in up to 20% decrease in passenger traffic for regional airports. This would translate into much degraded air connectivity and thus impact the economic and social position of Europe’s regional communities.
Just like their larger peers, regional airports have embraced decarbonisation. A record 261 regional airports across Europe are now certified for carbon management and reduction under Airport Carbon Accreditation, with eight of them holding the brand new Level Five accreditation – certifying them for reaching and maintaining a net zero carbon balance for emissions under their control and extending mapping, influencing and reporting requirements for all other emissions in particular those from airlines.
But as these airports are increasingly looking at facilitating the deployment of zero-emission aircraft, they need to be factored in along with the rest of the airport industry into the EU and national energy policies. This is about securing not just the availability of SAF but also access to green energy at competitive and undistorted prices.
Morgan Foulkes concluded: “As the EU is about to embark on a new five-year political cycle and as we hear much about the need for competitive and social impacts to be addressed while we decarbonise our economies, it is essential that no airport and no community is left behind. That means ensuring we decarbonise aviation in a way that safeguards the unique economic and social benefits of air connectivity in the Regions. This is precisely what we have asked the EU institutions with our Airport Industry Manifesto published in January”.